新“G7”超越七國(guó)集團(tuán)
國(guó)際貨幣基金組織(IMF)周二發(fā)布其最新的《世界經(jīng)濟(jì)展望》(World Economic Outlook),。一個(gè)突出的新發(fā)現(xiàn)浮出水面:以購(gòu)買(mǎi)力平價(jià)(PPP)計(jì)算,,七個(gè)最大的新興市場(chǎng)經(jīng)濟(jì)體的國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值(GDP)總和大于由老牌工業(yè)化國(guó)家組成的七國(guó)集團(tuán)(G7),。
一個(gè)假想的新G7——包括金磚四國(guó)(BRIC):巴西,、俄羅斯,、印度和中國(guó),,以及三個(gè)所謂的薄荷(MINT)經(jīng)濟(jì)體:墨西哥、印度尼西亞和土耳其——擁有總共37.8萬(wàn)億美元(按購(gòu)買(mǎi)力平價(jià)計(jì)算)的GDP總值,,高于老牌G7國(guó)家——加拿大,、法國(guó)、德國(guó),、意大利,、日本,、英國(guó)和美國(guó)——34.5萬(wàn)億美元的GDP總值。
購(gòu)買(mǎi)力平價(jià)的計(jì)算遠(yuǎn)非一種精確的科學(xué),。但是,,即便有各種不足之處,新的估算仍表明世界已今非昔比:在全球20個(gè)最大經(jīng)濟(jì)體中,,半數(shù)是新興市場(chǎng)經(jīng)濟(jì)體,,另外一半是老牌富裕國(guó)家;印尼已躋身于前10名之列,,超越英國(guó)成為世界第九大經(jīng)濟(jì)體,;尼日利亞(另一個(gè)薄荷經(jīng)濟(jì)體)在該國(guó)政府調(diào)整GDP測(cè)算的基期后,排名躍升10位,,從第30位升至第20位,。(更多全球資訊請(qǐng)關(guān)注中國(guó)進(jìn)出口網(wǎng))
A new G7 takes the lead
A hypothetical new G7, comprising the BRICs — Brazil, Russia, India and China — and three of the so-called MINT economies – Mexico, Indonesia and Turkey — has a combined GDP of $37.8 tn (at purchasing power parity) compared to $34.5 tn for the old G7 — Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the UK and the US.
The calculation of PPPs is far from an exact science. But, even with caveats, the new estimates point to a dramatically changed world: half of the twenty largest economies are now emerging markets and half are from the established rich world; Indonesia has entered the top 10 and overtaken the UK to become the 9th largest economy in the world; Nigeria – the other MINT economy – has leapt ten places in the rankings from 30th to 20th after the government rebased its measurement of GDP.(更多全球資訊請(qǐng)關(guān)注中國(guó)進(jìn)出口網(wǎng))