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個人電腦還沒到窮途末路之因

Why the PC just won't die

放大字體??縮小字體 ??來源:雅虎財經??瀏覽次數:751
核心提示:個人電腦還沒到窮途末路,至少目前還沒有,盡管平板電腦的日益普及,“平板”和智能手機——大型和小型所處可見,。
雅虎哦哦
 個人電腦還沒到窮途末路,至少目前還沒有,盡管平板電腦的日益普及,“平板”和智能手機——大型和小型所處可見,。據Gartner 7月的一份報告,個人電腦市場今年將經歷一個“相對復興”時期。

當然,”Gartner相對復興”意味著個人電腦市場將在2014年繼續(xù)下降,2013年不一樣(放緩分別為2.9%和9.5%),。真正的復蘇可能發(fā)生在2015年,當Gartner了解到個人電腦銷售實際上再次上升,漲了5.3%,。(更多全球資訊請點擊瀏覽

雅虎財經撰稿人Henry Blodget說:“這遠遠不是復興,。我們先在談論的這個市場是比十年前整個計算市場少。”

布羅吉特說,盡管如此,只要人們每天需要上班,個人電腦將會伴隨著生活,。“很多CEO們談論,‘嘿,我在我的智能手機上運行整個公司,’”他說,。“這是因為他們實際上并不需要做任何工作。”

對CEO委派工作智能手機可能是不錯的選擇,但是創(chuàng)建和使用電子表格或整天打字和發(fā)郵件還需要一臺電腦,,這在將來一段時間也是,Blodget’s認為,。

“很長一段時間,在辦公中我們將會繼續(xù)使用一個鍵盤和一個大屏幕,“Blodge說。“那么,認為個人電腦玩完了簡直是瘋了,。”

也許不久的一天,你的“個人電腦”將由智能手機或平板電腦,但是,要實現它,,還有很長的路要走。

目前,平板電腦增長正在放緩,。Gartner預測平板電腦在2014年出貨量將增長23.9%,。這么一個爆炸性增長,Gartner作為一個“放緩”來定性,。

但“減速”實際上可能不是一個足夠強大的詞,。百思買首席執(zhí)行官休伯特喬利最近告訴新聞網站Re /代碼,平板電腦銷售正“崩潰”。

喬利說,平板電腦面臨的問題是創(chuàng)新,。“一旦你有某一代的平板電腦,目前尚不清楚你是否有必要購買下一代,”他告訴Re /代碼,。

它實際上是個人電腦曾經同樣面臨的問題。喬利數大部分在百思買電腦轉好遵循這樣一個事實:微軟不再支持舊Windows版本的,這就迫使人們去升級,。

到目前為止,移動PC和移動景觀對一些最大的科技公司有利好——不管他們押注硬件,軟件,個人電腦或移動端,。 (更多全球資訊請點擊瀏覽) 

就拿硬件制造商惠普說,這是該公司多年來第一次個人電腦業(yè)務收入增長,。這種轉變是如此鼓舞人心,,首席執(zhí)行官梅格·惠特曼宣布該公司將在硬件業(yè)務投入多一倍?;萜展善苯衲暌詠砩蠞q了約30%,。

在軟件方面,谷歌(GOOGL)公司的受益是無人能比的。公司的Android軟件仍然是移動計算的無冕之王。采用Android移動設備的出貨量將在2014年增長30%,。

即使是一款備受爭議的微軟(Microsoft)可能會有所突破,。據Gartner,“Windows手機將在2014年基數較低的現狀表現出強勁的增長,從2014年的4%到2018年預計將達到10%的市場份額。”

當然,蘋果(Apple),。公司——集成硬件和軟件水平還沒有其他公司掌握,仍有增長勢頭,。出口的iOS系統(tǒng)設備將在2014年增長15%。

這樣的市場形勢——很難預測到底“個人電腦”的未來,。根據Blodget,“個人電腦仍然是有用的,”得到最終裁決我們還需要些日子,。
 (更多全球資訊請點擊瀏覽) 
The PC is not dead, at least not yet, despite the rising popularity of tablets, “phablets” and smartphones - large and small. According to a July report from Gartner, the personal computing market will experience a “relative revival” this year.
Of course, by “relative revival” Gartner means the PC market will continue to decline in 2014, just not as much as it did in 2013 (slowing 2.9% versus 9.5%, respectively.) The real revival may happen in 2015; that’s when Gartner sees PC sales actually increasing again – jumping 5.3%.
Yahoo Finance contributor Henry Blodget said, “This is far from a revival. We’re talking about a market that was the entire computing market fewer than 10 years ago.”
Still, Blodget said that as long as people need to go to work every day, personal computers will live on. “Lots of CEOs talk about, ‘Hey, I run the whole company on my smartphone,’” he said. “It’s because they don’t actually have to do any work.”
The smartphone may be fine for a CEO who is delegating work, but someone who is creating and using spreadsheets or typing and emailing all day still needs a computer and will for some time, in Blodget’s view.
“For a long time [to come] we are going to use a keyboard and a big screen at work,” says Blodget. “So, the idea that the PC is dead is crazy.”
It may be that one day soon, your “PC” will be powered by a smartphone or a tablet, but that’s a long way off.
For now, tablet growth is slowing. Gartner does predict tablet sales will continue to grow in 2014 with shipments expected to increase 23.9%. It is a testament to just how explosive the growth of the tablet has been that Gartner is characterizing that as a “slowdown.”
But “slowdown” actually may not be a strong enough word. Best Buy (BBY) CEO Hubert Joly recently told news site Re/Code that tablet sales are “crashing.”
According to Joly, the problem facing tablets is innovation. “once you have a tablet of a certain generation, it’s not clear that you have to move on to the next generation,” he told Re/Code.

It’s actually the same problem that once faced PCs. Joly credits a large part of the PC resurgence at Best Buy to the fact that Microsoft stopped supporting old versions of Windows, which drove people to upgrade. (for more global news please click here) 
So far, the shifting PC versus mobile landscape has spelled good news for some of the biggest names in tech – regardless of whether they’re betting on hardware, software, PC or mobile.
Take hardware-maker Hewlett-Packard (HPQ). The company recently saw revenue grow in its PC unit for the first time in years. The shift was so inspiring it led CEO Meg Whitman to declare the company would double down on hardware. HP stock is up about 30% year-to-date.
On the software side, no one is benefitting more than Google (GOOGL). The company’s Android software remains the undisputed king of mobile computing. The number of shipped devices running Android will jump 30% in 2014.
Even the oft-maligned Microsoft (MSFT) may have finally caught a break. According to Gartner, “Windows phones will exhibit strong growth from a low base in 2014, and are projected to reach a 10% market share by 2018 — up from 4% in 2014."
And of course – there’s Apple (AAPL). The company – which integrates hardware and software to a level no other company has yet mastered – is still seeing growth. Shipments of devices running iOS will jump 15% in 2014. (for more global news please click here) 
So with all of this in the mix – it’s hard to predict what exactly the future of “personal computing” will look like. According to Blodget, “The jury is still out,” and it may be a while before we get a verdict.


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